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When U.S. Tax Returns Vote With Their Feet…

September 20, 2010

The TaxProf offers up a stimulating data set on interstate migration trends from 1993 to 2008. (From MyTaxBurden.org). He concludes people who pay taxes don’t particularly like living in Blue States:

The Tax Foundation has launched an interactive tool that shows state-to-state migration data, including the number of taxpayers that move into and out of a particular state, along with changes in the flow of income to and from the state.

Users select a state and a range of years between 1993 and 2008. The site then calculates immigration to and emigration from that state. Because the tool is based on IRS tax return data which include both personal and financial information, the site can calculate the flows of both people and their income. Also, data can be compared between two specific states or between one state and all other states.

Here are the ten states with the largest net migration outflow from 1993-2008:

Rank State Tax Return Outflow Exemptions Outflow AGI Outflow
1 NY 962,100 2,161,953 $71,732,015,000
2 CA 723,098 2,249,194 $47,653,140,000
3 IL 376,373 831,433 $31,959,827,000
4 NJ 280,044 492,545 $21,724,614,000
5 MI 276,750 409,144 $15,880,307,000
6 OH 273,378 395,847 $19,683,721,000
7 PA 195,837 174,517 $10,093,603,000
8 MA 169,540 371,635 $12,496,936,000
9 LA 133,989 291,900 $7,192,784,000
10 CT 117,057 176,962 $7,862,730,000

Nine of the ten states voted for President Obama in 2008 (the tenth state — Louisiana — suffered massive migration from Hurricane Katrina).

Here are the ten states with the largest net migration inflow from 1993-2008:

Rank State Tax Return Inflow Exemptions Inflow AGI Inflow
1 FL 864,960 1,666,629 $97,161,723,000
2 AZ 448,463 862,732 $29,762,956,000
3 NC 402,594 803,148 $25,266,713,000
4 GA 383,030 798,849 $15,205,329,000
5 TX 362,494 861.576 $20,768,262,000
6 NV 296,276 569,094 $19,831,176,000
7 CO 202,079 346,303 $14,120,073,000
8 TN 183,594 402,551 $9,662,364,000
9 SC 153,181 323,383 $13,557,343,000
10 WA 145,217 256,834 $11,091,142,000

Five of the ten states voted for John McCain in 2008; nine of the ten states voted for President Bush in 2004.

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